---
name: "ModelingConflict"
description: "Expertise in applying Active Inference frameworks to analyze and model complex conflicts, enhancing understanding of communication and relationship dynamics in various contexts."
tags: ["active inference", "active-inference", "conflict-modeling", "aic-model", "ooda-loops", "cognitive-security"]
---

# Active Inference in Modeling Conflict

**Scott David, R.J. Cordes, Daniel A. Friedman** (2021) · Active Inference

## Instructions

Use this skill when working with topics related to **Active Inference, conflict modeling, AIC model, OODA loops**.

When applying this skill:
1. Apply Active Inference to model multiscale conflict dynamics
1. Analyze modern warfare (cyber, information, psychological) through BOLTS framework
1. Extend military conflict models (OODA, Rumsfeld Matrix) with Bayesian formalism

## Key Concepts

- **Active Inference**
- **conflict modeling**
- **AIC model**
- **OODA loops**
- **cognitive security**
- **information warfare**
- **BOLTS framework**
- **trust management**

## Methods & Techniques

- Utilization of Active Inference as a framework for understanding cognition and behavior in conflict.
- Survey of past qualitative and quantitative models of conflict to identify gaps and needs.
- Analysis of the relationship between the AIC model and existing frameworks like OODA and the Rumsfeld Matrix.
- Exploration of multiscale processes in conflict management and relationship dynamics.

## Key Findings

- The AIC model provides a comprehensive framework for understanding modern conflicts involving BOLTS components.
- It reveals the importance of managing 'unknown-knowns' in conflict scenarios for risk mitigation.
- The model demonstrates potential for converting conflict-related information differentials into constructive systems.
- Insights from the AIC model can inform future research directions and applications in conflict management.

## Prerequisites

- Probability theory and Bayesian inference basics
- Free Energy Principle and generative models

## 🎯 Consulting & Tutoring

[Daniel Ari Friedman, PhD](https://danielarifriedman.com/) is available for AI Research Consulting and Tutoring related to this skill.

## Related Skills

See [BIBLIOGRAPHY.md](../../pages/BIBLIOGRAPHY.md) for the complete publication catalog and related papers.